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TOPIC: GHC canceled

GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #25

Rebeg wrote: Well, this year is proving to be a total wash. My boss is already getting concerned for my mental well being. LOL

Way the elected leaders in Wisconsin has been running things, not overly surprised. Very strict. GHC should have been fine by then.

Will miss seeing all at the conventions, but it is what it is.


It is far from certain things would have been fine. We won't be at even a potential vaccine until early next year (and that would be far faster than has ever happened before.) Herd immunity won't work. How is your total immunity to the common cold coming along? The common cold is a coronavirus. You develop resistance to a particular strain which then fades in 3-6 months. Meanwhile, the virus mutates into something your system can't recognize.

The reality is we're facing a long term problem with this that will require a vaccine then annual or semi-annual boosters until we see a revolution in medicine.

With the re-openings, cases are spiking heavily.

I want to game as well but it's not realistic this year. I am only holding onto my Origins registration in the hope of a miracle.

Fred
What do we want? Evidence based science! When do we want it? After peer review!

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Last edit: by Fred K.

GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #26

Fred K wrote:
With the re-openings, cases are spiking heavily.


Where are you seeing these? Most states, at least for right now, seem to be flat in terms of new cases and deaths.

I certainly think it's possible that more new cases will come.
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GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #27

Wade Schwendemann wrote:

Fred K wrote:
With the re-openings, cases are spiking heavily.


Where are you seeing these? Most states, at least for right now, seem to be flat in terms of new cases and deaths.

I certainly think it's possible that more new cases will come.


Some of the earliest reopening states have muddled their data reporting, so it’s hard to judge.
D&D teaches all the important lessons in life - the low blow, the cheap shot, the back stab, the double cross. - Jerry Marsischky

Let them trap us. We have our swords. - Elric of Melnibone.

You try to get them to play the game, but all they want to do is play the rules. - Ardak Kumerian

I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend - Faramir

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GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #28

Wade Schwendemann wrote:

Fred K wrote:
With the re-openings, cases are spiking heavily.


Where are you seeing these? Most states, at least for right now, seem to be flat in terms of new cases and deaths.

I certainly think it's possible that more new cases will come.


This was a few days ago - more recent data may be available. Places like Florida, Georgia, and Texas are seeing the biggest spikes in cases (all were opening too soon.) It will be another week before we see any profound data nationwide about the reopening.
www.washingtonpost.com/health/coronavirus-hot-spots-erupt-across-the-country-experts-warn-of-possible-outbreaks-in-south/2020/05/20/49bc6d10-9ab4-11ea-a282-386f56d579e6_story.html

It looks like CNN has a story about it today. 18 states are showing spiking case growth, 22 are remaining the same, and 10 are declining. The key differences are how often masks are being used and how much testing is being done.
www.cnn.com/2020/05/26/health/us-coronavirus-tuesday/index.html
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Last edit: by Fred K.

GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #29

here is something to ponder and I hope I don't botch it.

we are having all these death's from covid-19, but after talking with several morticians, i'm not so sure. they tell me that their workload is about the same. I am beginning to wonder if the number of deaths isn't getting some help from misdiagnosis. please add whatever conspiracy you like.

please understand I am not downplaying the health risks. it is bad stuff.
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Last edit: by smakdown.

GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #30

My first response to that is, unless you're talking to morticians across a wide sampling of the country, you might be getting a distorted view. We do know that there are regional "hot spots" across the country.

In addition, with people staying home more, I would imagine that the number of traumatic deaths is lower than it otherwise would have been (car accidents, etc) which could be a potential causative factor.
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GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #31

all good points.
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Completed 20+ runs at GC 2017.

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GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #32

This is really getting depressing. When sports were cancelled, it was jarring at first, but now doesn't phase me. When eating out was stopped, it was a bummer, but eating in has saved money. When concerts were cancelled, I am still struggling with that, but this no gaming thing is really starting to wear on me.
I keep saying, not spending money or vacationing, all debts gone by what would normally be Christmas. All debts gone by what normally would be Christmas....
Days since a Game Convention: 389
Days since a Festival: 397
Days since a Broomball game: 403
Days since a Concert: 504
Days since a Hockey game: 511
Days since a War of 1812 re-enactment: 536

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GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #33

Fred,
I don't know where you are getting your numbers about Texas but we are down for the 4th straight day. We are one of the lower numbers when it is calculated by total population.

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GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #34

Daily change
New cases
United States
Texas
All time
Textual representation of the graph showing number of confirmed cases on a daily basis
26 on Mar 19
67 on Mar 20
60 on Mar 21
28 on Mar 22
24 on Mar 23
425 on Mar 24
263 on Mar 25
421 on Mar 26
335 on Mar 27
321 on Mar 28
500 on Mar 29
325 on Mar 30
389 on Mar 31
731 on Apr 1
672 on Apr 2
661 on Apr 3
780 on Apr 4
702 on Apr 5
464 on Apr 6
986 on Apr 7
1,091 on Apr 8
877 on Apr 9
1,441 on Apr 10
890 on Apr 11
923 on Apr 12
422 on Apr 13
718 on Apr 14
868 on Apr 15
963 on Apr 16
916 on Apr 17
889 on Apr 18
663 on Apr 19
535 on Apr 20
738 on Apr 21
873 on Apr 22
875 on Apr 23
862 on Apr 24
967 on Apr 25
858 on Apr 26
666 on Apr 27
874 on Apr 28
883 on Apr 29
1,033 on Apr 30
1,142 on May 1
1,293 on May 2
1,026 on May 3
784 on May 4
1,037 on May 5
1,053 on May 6
968 on May 7
1,219 on May 8
1,251 on May 9
1,009 on May 10
1,000 on May 11
1,179 on May 12
1,355 on May 13
1,448 on May 14
1,347 on May 15
1,801 on May 16
785 on May 17
909 on May 18
1,219 on May 19
1,411 on May 20
945 on May 21
1,181 on May 22
1,060 on May 23
839 on May 24
623 on May 25

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GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #35

Here are graphs for Dallas county showing risk level monitoring.

www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus/monitoring-data.php

Thru May 22nd it has not shown a decrease and why stay at home recommendation thru June 12th.

The data does vary wildly by county.

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Last edit: by edwin.

GHC canceled 10 months 2 weeks ago #36

We are starting to veer onto a path of the sort that gets threads locked.
D&D teaches all the important lessons in life - the low blow, the cheap shot, the back stab, the double cross. - Jerry Marsischky

Let them trap us. We have our swords. - Elric of Melnibone.

You try to get them to play the game, but all they want to do is play the rules. - Ardak Kumerian

I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend - Faramir

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