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TOPIC: Fantasy Football 2020

Fantasy Football 2020 2 days 17 hours ago #145

Part of the issue is that we have all had to do a hard evaluation on our players and admitting that we were wrong in our valuation is hard. Take this year's roster for me for example. I was compleatly wrong on TY Hilton to the point where I dropped him in disgust to keep a second kicker because I could see value in trading a kicker or if someone is suddenly sick. TY was so bad that he wasn't even worth that. Drake is also clearly not worth RB1 value and I am questioning him at RB2 value.

Ertz this year is not TE1 value. Especially not with Dallas Goedart about to be back.

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Fantasy Football 2020 2 days 9 hours ago #146

Lieth Maclaine/Tony McCormick wrote: Part of the issue is that we have all had to do a hard evaluation on our players and admitting that we were wrong in our valuation is hard. Take this year's roster for me for example. I was compleatly wrong on TY Hilton to the point where I dropped him in disgust to keep a second kicker because I could see value in trading a kicker or if someone is suddenly sick. TY was so bad that he wasn't even worth that. Drake is also clearly not worth RB1 value and I am questioning him at RB2 value.

Ertz this year is not TE1 value. Especially not with Dallas Goedart about to be back.


exactly this, what we thought we knew early in the season isn't what we actually know now. For instance I would much rather have James Robinson and Miles Gaskin than Drake. The former of the players were pickups week 1 and 2 and Drake was a 30 dollar "steal" during the draft. This year is the weirdest of years.

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Fantasy Football 2020 1 day 11 hours ago #147

I agree with several of the prior comments.

It is the strangest year I've seen - probably remincent of the strike year from many years ago.

Erntz is a good athlete, I don't think the problem is him. The Eagles are just broken - not sure what is wrong there beyond them not having real receivers. If he were playing for a good team, he would likely be performing better. Good news for him is it is his contract year and he'll likely walk end of season. Were I to guess, I'd say he will play for Dallas next year if they can come up with the money.

Trades are tough to pull off. It takes both parties being realistic about the value of what you have versus what you think you have.I drafted Hilton in another league, paid something like $10 for him. I released him as well but it was hard to do because I paid $10 for him. The reality was he was performing worse than waiver wire players so, objectively, he had to go (and I hated watching him play this year.)

In sales training classes, I teach a course on how to recognize and convey value. There's a concept best known in gambling as "chasing losses." The value something has is not determined by what it's original investment was. Whatever you initially invested is gone. Real value is what something can do for you in the future. It's how Vegas stays in business. You start gambling by betting $100 with the objective to make money. You're down $1,000 and you decide to bet another $500 in order to get your $1,000 back. The reality is you lost $1000. That money is gone. That decision to bet another $500 was irrational. The same is true in Fantasy Football. I paid $6 for Green but he's being dropped. I paid $16 for Gurley and traded him away for a backup QB since he wasn't good enough to be in my top 4 this year . I actually tried to pick up Lindsay to replace Green this week but Mike beat me to him this week (good pick up). Lindsay would just be a filler for a couple weeks unless Gordon gets injured but that is still better than nothing from green.

There is an element of guessing what will happen when teams change (big players returning, OC's being fired, etc.) For example - I would guess the Texans will improve when/if they ever fire O'Brien (should have been fired 2 years ago - too much talent to be as predictable as they are.) I traded for Thomas because of how Thomas performs when healthy - he's been injured so far this year but has been very consistent for 3 years under the same OC and coach as well as most of the same players. In our trade, both sides won. I have enough depth at RB to lose an RB1, Tony has enough depth at WR to lose a WR1 and could use an upgrade at QB. Both of us should see an increase in points overall.

Fred
What do we want? Evidence based science! When do we want it? After peer review!

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Fantasy Football 2020 1 day 11 hours ago #148

One other trade note - I strongly recommend using trades to make up for bye weeks. Spending waiver dollars for fill-in players when other teams have players post-bye they aren't starting is a good opportunity for everyone. If you have a second kicker and need a backup qb for a bye week, that can be a win for both sides. Similar cases can be made for TE's, etc.

With all the chaos of Covid, etc impacting players we needed to sign to fill in gaps - waiver dollars are at a premium. Remember, it is only week 6. We have 10 more weeks to go.

Fred
What do we want? Evidence based science! When do we want it? After peer review!

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truedungeon.com/forum?view=topic&catid=569&id=245490#287189

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Fantasy Football 2020 1 day 9 hours ago #149

Meanwhile, I haven't liked how Brees has been looking this year and Drake hasn't been what I needed in my 3rd RB. Anderson and Crowder can hold down the WR room with Claypool helping while I decided what to do with Gallup. I decided I want to take the unknown of Thomas right now off the table in exchange for Mixon. Cam for Freeman balanced things out nicely. Waiver wire dollars is the reason I am keeping 2 defenses, 2 TE, 2 Kickers, and now 3 QB's on my roster.

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Fantasy Football 2020 1 day 8 hours ago #150

Lieth Maclaine/Tony McCormick wrote: Meanwhile, I haven't liked how Brees has been looking this year and Drake hasn't been what I needed in my 3rd RB. Anderson and Crowder can hold down the WR room with Claypool helping while I decided what to do with Gallup. I decided I want to take the unknown of Thomas right now off the table in exchange for Mixon. Cam for Freeman balanced things out nicely. Waiver wire dollars is the reason I am keeping 2 defenses, 2 TE, 2 Kickers, and now 3 QB's on my roster.


The trade made sense. I've got 2 kickers, 2 TE's, and enough RBs and WR's to handle bye weeks. The only position I have to grab is a QB for week 8. Ideally, I'd like to trade a bench player for someone's backup QB for that one week.
What do we want? Evidence based science! When do we want it? After peer review!

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truedungeon.com/forum?view=topic&catid=570&id=247398

Rogue build
truedungeon.com/forum?view=topic&catid=569&id=245490#287189

Items for Sale or Trade
truedungeon.com/forum?view=topic&catid=583&id=247555

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