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TOPIC: Nightmare Stats for Advanced Party Challenge?

Nightmare Stats for Advanced Party Challenge? 3 years 10 months ago #37

  • Grekel!
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Joshua Long wrote:

Chip Bowles wrote:

Dave wrote:

Brad Mortensen wrote: Observation: the fact we have multiple players who have or plan to run solo nightmare, when the event is planned for a team of ten, is all you need to know to say there needs to be an Epic level.


+1


+2 :)

+3

+4
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Nightmare Stats for Advanced Party Challenge? 3 years 10 months ago #38

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I'd support an epic level.

But remember that just a handful of people have done or plan to do nightmare solo. And so far they are all the biggest of big buyers.

The Greedy Sealed Pack Plus One run at WYC last year kind of points in this direction as well.
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Nightmare Stats for Advanced Party Challenge? 3 years 10 months ago #39

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Is the number of solo nightmare only 3? Just checking.
You either discover a star or you don't. You arrogant punk.

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Nightmare Stats for Advanced Party Challenge? 3 years 10 months ago #40

Matthew Hayward wrote: 4. I can't tell about survival rates, but I can tell who reported surviving to room 7 on their XP system.

Overall, over the last 4 years, out of 2115 reported nightmare runs there have been only 34 players who didn't make it to room 7 (1.6%).

The percentage of rhardcore reporting runners who made it to room 7 is similar.

Both are higher than the proportion of normal reporting runners who make it to room 7.



I think based on this, it's pretty clear that one of these things is true:

  1. The ~33% of reported runs at Nightmare are not representative.
  2. A large proportion of people who report their runs are lying about what room they survived to.
  3. Nightmare is a largely cakewalk for the people who decide to run it, with nearly 99% of players making it to room 7, such that you can count on your fingers the number of nightmare runners who don't make it to room 7 and register their Xp each year.

My money is on number 3 :laugh:



Also, don't forget that HP is entirely on the "honor system."

Players can just as easily lie about their HP (and give themselves unlimited healing), as they can lie about what room they survived to, or how much XP they got.

Players who did Non-Lethal can simply give themselves max XP for having done Hardcore/Nightmare even though they didn't do that difficulty level.

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